To: Bridge Player who wrote (62824 ) 5/1/2008 5:09:43 PM From: TimF Respond to of 542201 If it is accurate (and that's a big question), it isn't on the scale needed to be a major act of war, but yes it would be an attack against us. If a Canadian soldier, even on orders from their PM, shot at some American soldiers, and say killed one and wounded two. We would be very unlikely to go to war over it. Of course Canada is an ally, and an even bigger trading partner than China, and of course if it was known that a Canadian PM made such an insane order (and that it was followed) it would certainly hurt our relations with Canada (even if the harm might be reduced greatly if he was impeached, which I think would be likely), but the point is unless your looking for a war, you don't use every incident, even a somewhat serious incident, as a pretext for war. We could win a war with China, if by "win" you mean kill more of them than they kill of us, or damage their military capability to a large degree, but the reality is that we would just lose to a lesser extent than they would. If China did launch a full scale strike on our satellites, rather than some tests, or causing minor damage, or temporarily blinding them, that would be a more serious act of war, and one that would be large enough for us to move forces in to the area. But we would be reluctant to initiate full blown war even then. And China wouldn't gain anything significant unless they where timing the satellite attack to cover their tracks on some other attack that they thought we would respond to. Where could China initiate a major attack against US allies or forces? Well they could help North Korea attack the south, but I don't think that's very likely, they took a lot of losses in the Korean war and I don't think they are looking for a repeat. They might also try to invade Taiwan, which is weaker than South Korea and doesn't have US forces in place, but Taiwan is over 100 miles off shore, and they don't have the amphibious capability to take Taiwan now, even if the US doesn't intervene. If the US did, we would take losses, but on the high seas the US navy rules the waves. In decades and generations to come its possible things can be different but the idea of China starting serious trouble with the US now is extremely small IMO.