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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (6864)5/4/2008 7:35:06 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71475
 
I'm not suggesting to short them - that's speculation,
and needs to be done carefully with stops, but
your investment in Treasuries definitely sucked big time
2001-present, as they underperformed inflation and the
dollar drop. Here is the chart in constant dollars. Obviously,
rates don't compensate for currency drop, which makes
UST a poor losing investment choice. The same goes for US
stocks. Gold and some foreign markets did well, but that
does not say US economy is performing...




To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (6864)5/4/2008 8:01:38 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71475
 
FWIW, foreign investors are seeing that chart. They own 1/2 of
all treasuries. The decision to sell a non-performing asset
is only natural.



To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (6864)5/5/2008 10:37:46 PM
From: 8bits  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71475
 
Riddle me this: how come long-term rates are lower today than they were at the end of 2001?

Vendor financing perhaps....?



To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (6864)5/6/2008 6:54:12 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71475
 
This is the main concern for USD. The only way to reduce
that number is for US to go into deep recession, significantly
cut financial economy, and emerge from that recession with
huge jobs growth in manufacturing. As the Fed fights the
recession by providing life line to Wall Street, the current
account will only increase.

en.wikipedia.org