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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: DMaA who wrote (248881)	5/5/2008 4:22:00 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Respond to of 794337

There is no systematic reason why the Republicans couldn't have had a contested nomination right up to the convention. They lucked out. On the contrary, there is precisely a systematic reason why the Republicans don't have contested primaries right up to the convention: most of the Republican primaries are winner-take-all. This turns any slight edge into an unassailable margin of victory. It could only stay close if two candidates are truly neck-and-neck for months. The Democratic primaries are all proportional, which means you need a landslide win to even get significantly more delegates. So the effect is just the opposite: any slight edge is turned into a tie. If the Democrats had run their primaries by the same rules as the Republicans, Hillary would have wrapped up the nomination months ago.