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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Katelew who wrote (63791)	5/6/2008 3:32:11 PM
From: Dale Baker	Respond to of 542233

The polling on favorables and unfavorable is always simply, do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of the following person? Only the pols and the pundits talk about electability. The polls sometimes ask who you think will be nominated or elected, but I have never seen the term "electability" used in a poll. It's a campaign concept for "my pol is better than your pol" cheerleading, IMHO. The head to head polls against McCain have drifted all over, but all of them have 40-something against the others. Statistically it's in the margin of error, which is very soft this far in advance. I am content to let the real votes and the real delegates do their thing and pick a candidate. It will be a relief not to see this electability thing batted around like a badminton shuttlecock any longer.

To: Katelew who wrote (63791)	5/6/2008 7:36:10 PM
From: JohnM	Respond to of 542233

Kate, The electability argument, focused on the polls, is all over the lost, best I can tell. Some show Obama doing better vis a vis McCain and some show Clinton. And then those shift. So I'm not giving them a lot of credibility. And, this far out, they are, of course, terribly unreliable. I posted a kos analysis of the electoral college vote drawn from a website that the Clinton folk use to substantiate some of their claims. Obama does better there and it also shows the reframing of our politics.