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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Ox who wrote (9367)5/8/2008 6:39:14 PM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 33421
 
Great.... fits right into my Elliott wave analysis...... we should ask Robert Furman what he thinks... he's probably got the right answer!!! ;-)

But seriously I have to admit from a sentiment point the crude and the energy service stocks are looking frothy for at least a reasonable 3 to 5 month to 8 month correction coming into play here very soon. I'm looking around for the appropriate turning point time window at this point....... The Market has been really running hard so as a general principle it's pretty dangerous to start allocating money into shorting against the bigger trend, Use ascending trailing stops on your long positions on all your trading and intermediate holdings (12 to 18 months and under).

With the integrated oil stocks, refiners etc you have to start to get worried about punative taxes proposed or enacted by the potential/likely upcoming administration. ... The energy service sector stocks have to keep an eye out on the proverbial dip in demand coupled with countries like China also building rigs and offshore stuff. Not as good as the Best of Breed deepwater stuff coming from GSF or RIG.

John



To: The Ox who wrote (9367)5/8/2008 6:43:14 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
TO: traders are in control. The trend is their friend and they will keep driving up oil until something is done about it. The "bully pulpit" would be the perfect place to try to reign in the excess speculation but who in their right mind would expect two oil men to try to reduce oil price speculation???]

Now THERE is my personal definitely of a "black swan".. ;0)

Was looking at DUG earlier today...

Hawk