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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bart13 who wrote (94218)5/14/2008 2:33:24 PM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
That black line from shadowstats tells the story. To compare today to the 1930's looks even more ridiculous. The chart clearly shows the recent period of disinflation is similar to what happened before the 1970's only we are appear to be accelerating to even loftier heights on the back side of this.. The current recession looks a lot like 1970? I wonder what you, Williams and others think? Probably two severe recessions the next decade along with much stagflation and even hyperinflation mixed in?



To: bart13 who wrote (94218)5/14/2008 4:11:43 PM
From: sea_biscuit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Shouldn't "CPI-U + lies" be labeled "CPI-U - lies" instead? i.e. the CPI-U after the lies are taken out?!



To: bart13 who wrote (94218)5/14/2008 7:59:19 PM
From: dybdahl  Respond to of 110194
 
Thanks - that was useful - the chart shows, that:

1) M3 and inflation are not always linked
2) M3 rises have been historically larger than inflation
3) Compared with some other time periods, it doesn't seen totally unlikely, that CPI can now go down while M3 goes up