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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JohnM who wrote (65798)	5/14/2008 11:12:53 PM
From: Mac Con Ulaidh	Respond to of 543697

hey, i think we are a fine tribe. survivors. stalwart and true. but always carrying the stain of having been cast from the homeland. or something like that. and it is just hard to get a scot-irish vote. clinton did and he was some silly thing from arkansas, of all places. but he had the creds in ways. and spoke the language. last speech i heard by obama was 1st time i thought to self... he sounds southern. he took on new inflections. he has steel in him. and truth. and commitment. he can reach those hard stern fighting people. and regardless of what anyone thinks... it does matter. we are a pain in the ass, but we come in handy.

To: JohnM who wrote (65798)	5/15/2008 9:01:05 AM
From: Dale Baker	Respond to of 543697

Given a few months distance from the Appalachian marathon, much of the focus and emotion we saw here will have been redirected to the national scene and the broad electoral strategy where it belongs. The basic math is Kerry 2004-Plus. Add Ohio to Kerry's base and you win. Add VA and IA and you win. Add CO and VA and you win. And a half-dozen other possible combinations. It's more likely that KY and WVA will remain red and put their few electoral votes for McCain. But that won't be the real crux of the issue in November. And if the Clintons live up to their word, they can do a lot to shore up the Appalachian base and maybe put Arkansas in play too. They have demonstrated their strength up and down that corridor. Let's see what they can deliver in a general election campaign.