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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (124339)5/21/2008 9:20:34 AM
From: RarebirdRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
The energy sector is providing 60% of the earnings in the S&P 500. This reminds me of 2000 when the tech sector provided most of the earnings of the index. If oil prices do top and crash (yes, a crash is the most likely course once prices do top out), what happens to the energy sector? That would destroy most of the earnings of the S&P 500 Index.



To: John Vosilla who wrote (124339)5/21/2008 10:06:29 AM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
XOM is a big one, for sure. The fact that they haven't cleared their base is telling with crude over 130.....

Personally I like services and E&P's without downstream (refining) exposure. MDR is a good example, if they can clear their pivot it will be a nice cup and handle breakout:




To: John Vosilla who wrote (124339)5/21/2008 10:42:41 AM
From: Jim McMannisRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Exxon has tapped out their reserves and is having to buy more oil on the open market to refine into gasoline. Not the same profits they were getting so the stock is lagging.
ANWR and the eastern GOM are waiting to be drilled. Alternative energy is great but takes a lot more time. Meanwhile we're getting the results we sowed the last 30 years.