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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: oldsman who wrote (9454)5/21/2008 10:13:57 PM
From: stomper  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 33421
 
If you don't want to get too esoteric, DUG is "easy". I know nothing of it's component make up though.



To: oldsman who wrote (9454)5/23/2008 8:21:14 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hi oldsman... DUG is a nice investment vehicle for a tradable short of the energy service sector complex. Just use a normal %weigting of your short position and if you don;t have specific guidelines for the percentage of your trading capital to put at risk in any given trade use 2%. ... as a stop loss.

NO one here wants you to get rich on a single trade, which truth be told is still against the major trend in energy crude..etc. We just want you to develop a trading money management system that is quantitatively based and enables your profitable trades to run 2 , 3 5 or 8 times as much as your predetermined stop loss. The absensce of a rigid system of risk/money management will kill even the very best or intuitive or technical traders over time. Take the passion out of any position and put your dollar allocations of RISK at a 2%of your portfolio and you will be fine...... one addendum....

don't thing that you can have a series of postitively correlated trading postions and somehow beguile yourself into believing that you have not taken your basic premise of a 2% risk on your equity base and have not kicked it up to an unacceptably higher 8 or 12% of your equity.

John