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To: Umunhum who wrote (102149)6/5/2008 1:38:44 PM
From: CommanderCricket  Respond to of 206223
 
"I wish the 2011 leaps were trading. They should come out at the end of this month. Buy all the producers that you can get your hands on people."

I've got a nice slug of MRO 2010 leaps (45's through 60's) but would like to start accumulating the 2011 too. This position is the speculative side against the LT CNQ common. Very exciting times...

Agree that the game is over for crude production growth.

Hope everyone enjoyed "the good ole days" of cheap crude



To: Umunhum who wrote (102149)6/5/2008 3:59:10 PM
From: Umunhum  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206223
 
This needs to be repeated:

Venezuela and Mexico are critically important to the US because of their proximity to the refineries on the Gulf Coast. From what I have been able to discern, it takes an average of about five days for a tanker to get to the US from Venezuela and Mexico versus about 30 days from the Persian Gulf. Based on recent news reports, it certainly appears that the overall net export decline from Venezuela and Mexico is continuing into 2008.

So, what has happened to net oil exports from Venezuela & Mexico to the US and what effect has had this had on Gulf Coast crude oil inventories, and why am I concerned?

This EIA website has net oil imports into the US by country of origin, through March, 2008.

tonto.eia.doe.gov.

The data show that combined net oil exports from Venezuela & Mexico to the US have dropped by 414,000 bpd from 10/07 to 3/08, an astounding annual decline rate of -32%/year. This decline was at least partially offset by increases in imports from the Persian Gulf.

theoildrum.com

Take a look at what the price of oil has done since October when Mexican and Venezuelan exports to the U.S. started crashing:

futuresource.quote.com