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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (35870)	6/17/2008 10:21:56 PM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 217588

as long as iran is with russia AND china AND japan, events should go OK Does Iran intend to nuke Israel? If so, things will very much not be OK. If there is any doubt, Israel cannot afford to be on its losing side. It may see itself as having no choice but to preempt. I expect Iran will not be so foolish as to nuke Israel. Unfortunately, its bellicose stance and the thumbing of noses at multi-lateral efforts to make sure no weaponization is taking place only fans the flames. These are not the actions of a country that wants to assure its neighbors. The mentally deluded Ahmadinejad has done a lot of harm. The Iranian leadership are a bunch of toxically virulent anti-semites, the source of the problem. We'll see. I am not so optimistic, though I don't think the US will do anything - and neither will China or Russia, for that matter - except stand by if Israel acts because it feels its existence is threatened. Russia and China will not risk a nuclear interchange with the US over the Iranian/Israeli squabble. quickly de-camp euro banks for hong kong / tokyo banks, backed by continued delivery of crude Done, I think, and not a good sign.

To: TobagoJack who wrote (35870)	6/17/2008 11:53:19 PM
From: RJA_	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217588

I cannot argue that we are not coming into the Asia (and particularly China) century, and so will not. China seems to have a collection of very bright folks, willing to work very hard, and up to now, for very reasonable wages. They are not wasting their energy on wars, except briefly to eat Tibet, and toss a few missiles in the sea near Taiwan. They appear to be commercially astute, knowing that win win situations are the only way to have ongoing mutually profitable business. It is a good way to make business and make allies. As for Australia, it is already economically tied to China. I am not sure it will want to be politically tied to China... but of course, may have no choice... As for Israel, it lives in a rough neighborhood. I am sure it would like to live in harmony with same, but without giving up its identity, ethnicity, or religion. In that neighborhood this is a tall order. The US has become weaker since the 1960's... Without a strong economy, it is impossible to field a strong military. This is clear to some, but others are still true believers in the old order. Even for those, in war, clear eyed sanity should rule, else disaster. If we are to see a world depression any time soon (no, I don't know when) I expect it will be as hard or perhaps harder on China than on the US... China is like the US in the late 1920's... heavy on manufacturing and needing markets. If those markets stop buying, there will be much over capacity and unemployment... a volatile mix especially if prices are rising (as they are now). In the longer run (and of course, if there is no world wide depression) this appears to be the century of China, India, and perhaps Russia (if it can get over its corruption, its Tzars, and have true rule of law). In any case, that's how things look from here. Best wishes, and be well... and of course accumulate what is real. RJA