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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TH who wrote (9111)6/18/2008 12:52:29 PM
From: RockyBalboa  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 71403
 
TH,

I begin to accept that this is a demand issue; as many others stated this is a cool season for gold as opposed to the winter holiday time. Secondly many who bought are underwater or barely up and will at least hesitate before buying more. If, on average everyone had a plan to allocate some wealth into gold this might have occurred already.

What is more important particularly for emerging countries is that raw materials or food inflation begins to "crowd out gold and metal inflation". People might beginn to sell gold instead of buying in order to raise money for living. It is tough to have purchasing power stored in a noninterest bearing asset which begins to deprechiate and otherwise inflation is rampant.
It wont change a dime for the long term outlook and gold could cost not 1k but 2 or 3k as others stated but for now those are trying times. For example Gold at $750 and I would buy some in earnest.

I would want to see some rate hiking done first, particularly in Europe and Asia.

What is hard to guess is whether gold supply relative to demand is shrinking or not, particularly if new mines start to produce.



To: TH who wrote (9111)6/19/2008 4:52:46 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71403
 
TH, a crash up in US automakers can happen at any time. Huge
production capacity, and quite a few global automakers
hold a significant stake in other automakers. TM buying a
large stake in GM? price/revenue = 0.05 is ridiculous even
for auto manufacturers, not to mention that GM and F are
overshorted, with 5 days for shorts to cover. We already
got one in F, when Kirkorian wanted some F. TM can buy GM
with 1 year of earnings.