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To: quehubo who wrote (103203)6/18/2008 7:25:45 PM
From: Archie Meeties  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206183
 
"Where would we be today if ANWR was opened 10 years ago?"

Today would have been delayed...by about 16-24 months. And we'd be about 3-4% less dependent on foreign oil, best case scenario. That's just above a negligible amount, and it's clearly not a solution.

tonto.eia.doe.gov



To: quehubo who wrote (103203)6/18/2008 11:56:25 PM
From: Webster Groves  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206183
 
<Where would we be today if ANWR was opened 10 years ago?>

If you believe this website, ANWR could provide 600 million barrels of oil per year:

sibelle.info

If you believe this website, Prudhoe Bay already supplies 600 millions barrels per year (less than half its initial production rate of 1977):

columbia.edu

Currently the US consumes 7500 million barrels of oil per year:

eia.doe.gov

So at best ANWR, like Prudhoe, could provide 8% of current US consumption but after 10 years of development. However, it is best considered as a replacement for Prudhoe, and not an enhancement. Fortunately the oil was not developed and wasted earlier, and still remains as our last major domestic source of oil, at least until Iraq gets statehood.

If peak oil is real, ANWR is our last hope, and only to cover our retreat as a world power. If peak oil is not real, ANWR is not needed.

wg