To: J_F_Shepard who wrote (392607 ) 6/19/2008 9:59:40 PM From: combjelly Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1577194 "I'm just looking at a 40 year continuing drop in production...I'm certain drilling has been going all that time with no increase in production. " It has and it hasn't. After the bust, offshore rigs were stacked up in Sabine Pass for a couple of decades. Oil prices were too low to support much drilling offshore. A lot of stripper wells were also capped. When prices get so low that a stripper well, which are often power by the natural gas in the well and have no extra costs except for maintenance are shut down, well... Drilling was much reduced. But, despite the wild claims here, it wasn't because of the Democrats or the environmentalists. It was because a lot of the proven reserves were not economic to produce at the existing prices. Exploration companies went broke as it became more and more difficult to find reserves that could be produced without losing money. If OPEC's goal was to cripple out ability to prospect and produce our own oil, they couldn't have done a better job. Forget the conspiracy theories you see bandied about here. Our production has been dropping because, until recently, producing it here didn't make a lot of sense in many cases. We have only a small fraction of the wildcatters, oil exploration, outfitters, field workers, etc. that we had 30 years ago. Now, the majors kept on shooting seismics during those years. But the little guys have all dried up and blown away. And they were the ones who actually drilled the most holes. The majors do all kinds of cost studies before they start drilling holes. And each one is carefully optimized to minimize investment. So it takes them years to make a decision. The Bust changed the oil industry in ways that, if this board is any indication, many don't understand.