To: JohnG who wrote (80397 ) 6/21/2008 11:12:29 PM From: Think4Yourself Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 116555 It certainly is a tricky and dangerous situation. It's a high stakes poker game and the player representing us is an idiot. I suspect all here agree that whatever is going to happen will occur before Bush is out of office. There are good arguments for him doing it before the elections to help McCain's "patriotic" stance, but Americans are already pretty ticked off that he started an unprovoked war with Iraq, and lied to the American people to do it. Bush is more likely to do it after the elections, especially when McCain loses. He has nothing to lose then and, in his twisted little mind, may actually believe he is doing the right thing by starting yet another war. I believe you may overestimate the American ability to stop retaliation. Iran is no Iraq. While we would certainly win in an all out confrontation, an all out confrontation isn't likely to happen. The Iraqis were downright stupid in their strategy. Iran has seen what happens when you play the game by a superior enemy's rules. They are more likely to disperse their supersonic ground to ship missiles around the Middle East, if they haven't already done so. You might as well paint giant bulls eyes on all the oil tankers because they will start sinking all over the place. There isn't squat our military can do about that without bringing China, and possibly Russia, into the picture. The terrain around the Straits of Hormuz are also mountainous. Given that tankers are literally sitting ducks, almost anything can be launched to sink them. The Iranian retaliation threat should not be taken lightly. Odds are very good that they can deliver on their threat.