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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: majaman1978 who wrote (255365)	6/22/2008 8:45:34 PM
From: longnshort	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793757

Newsweek ?? lolol the most liberal rag there is

To: majaman1978 who wrote (255365)	6/22/2008 9:17:11 PM
From: LindyBill	Respond to of 793757

The magazine's poll gave Obama 51 per cent to 36 per cent for McCain That's the Newsweek poll. If they polled McCain's family Obama would win. :>)

To: majaman1978 who wrote (255365)	6/22/2008 9:59:41 PM
From: Sedohr Nod	Respond to of 793757

Is your confidence level so high that you will give 15-20 points on that wager? If the general public gets a handle on what the left's energy policy actually is...he will be doing good to poll the "given 43%".

To: majaman1978 who wrote (255365)	6/23/2008 1:00:05 AM
From: KLP	Respond to of 793757

I wouldn't go to the bank yet on a Newsweek poll. Good Golly, Mr Molly....when was the last time that rag told anything close to the truth? McCain isn't the best candidate, but he sure as heck is when compared to a less than ONE TERM candidate, who has spent the last 1 1/2 years trying to become President. If Soros hadn't funded him, he'd be back in the Senate, shuffling paper, and voting like the SocialistLeftist he really is.

To: majaman1978 who wrote (255365)	6/23/2008 1:15:29 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793757

June Polls Don't Hold Up TIMES ONLINE UK This week's polls showing Barack Obama with small, but significant, single-digit leads among likely voters are certainly welcomed by Democrats, but recent history hasn't been kind to early frontrunners. In fact, only one of the last five June election-year polling averages has correctly predicted the popular vote winner in November - Bill Clinton in 1996. Even then, the polls missed his win-margin by more than 9 percent. As hard as it may be to believe, Michael Dukakis was leading the first George Bush by an average of 8.2 percent in June of 1988. Bush went on to win the general election by 7.8 points. Mr Bush led the relatively unknown Bill Clinton by 4.9 percent In June of '92, but managed to lose in November by 5.6 percent. June 1996 polls showed the incumbent President Clinton leading by a whopping 17 points, but even Bob Dole managed to close the gap to a more respectable 8.5 percent. 2000 was different only in that George W. Bush led by 4.7 percent in June, won the election, but lost the popular vote to Al Gore by 0.5 percent. And finally, John Kerry led in the June 2004 polls by an average of 0.9 percent, but lost the popular vote, and the election, to the incumbent Bush by 2.4 points. So, while Mr Obama's leads are certainly signs for Democrats to be optimistic, history points to caution. A lot can happen between June and November. timesonline.typepad.com