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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: i-node who wrote (393688)6/23/2008 10:25:43 PM
From: steve harris  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1578962
 
Remember that biodiesel plant we were going to get at the Little Rock port?

Kiss it goodbye...

Message 24699196



To: i-node who wrote (393688)6/23/2008 10:38:41 PM
From: combjelly  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1578962
 
"You don't have any idea what statistical expectation is, do you?"

I do. There is no basis to assume that a nuclear terrorist attack is orders of magnitude higher than an asteroid strike.

Especially so much higher as to counter the statistical expectation to the point of being far, far higher.

Which is why I called your statement ignorant. A major asteroid strike could kill all of humanity. If not immediately, then in the years that follow. And that is at least 3 orders of magnitude higher than what a nuclear terrorist strike could pull off. To put the terrorist statistical expectation as "far, far higher", that would need another few more orders of magnitude. And we probably don't have that. Now, the last time it happened was about 250 million years ago. They occur, on the average, about every 100 million years.

In other words, statistically speaking, we've been lucky.