To: ChinuSFO who wrote (24527 ) 6/24/2008 10:11:11 AM From: zeta1961 Respond to of 149317 Meanwhile, we've got McCain saying this: oy vay... From: Dale Baker 6/24/2008 9:17:56 AM of 73461 Clumsy, clumsy statement by McCain. Never hand the world the perfect sound byte to ridicule your position. It automatically focuses the debate on what's wrong with the idea instead of finessing the long-term benefits. This is the kind of stumble i expect to see again, and to hurt McCain as the year goes on."McCain admitted that the offshore drilling proposal he unveiled last week would probably have mostly "psychological" benefits..." --------------------------------------------------------- First Read: The day in politics by NBC News for NBC News --------------------------------------------------------- FIRST THOUGHTS. *** Charlie Black's Gaffe: Yesterday, McCain chief strategist Charlie Black -- who already has drawn controversy for his past lobbyist work -- made one of those classic Washington gaffes, as Michael Kinsley once put it: accidentally speaking a truth that many people on both sides of the aisle believe. In an interview with Fortune, Black said that a terrorist attack would be a "big advantage" to McCain, a comment the all-but-certain GOP candidate immediately distanced himself from. Not only did the controversy distract McCain from his message of the day (that $300 million prize for inventing a new car battery), but it also resurrected the politics of 2004, which as we've argued before might not benefit McCain's prospects. But for what it's worth, there's been chatter among some Democrats that the big fear Obama aides have is just what Black spoke about -- some sort of national security crisis popping up in October. This is why most Democrats who have given their two cents to the Obama VP vetters seem to come away convinced Obama will picked a No. 2 who has obvious national security credentials. That said, what the impact of a national security crisis in October is unknown for this reason: It depends on who initiates it. If it's an outside force, then Black's probably right. But if it's something that President Bush sparks, then Obama could benefit. *** Off-Message On Offshore Drilling? That Charlie Black comment wasn't the McCain's only off-message moment yesterday. At a town hall in Fresno, CA, McCain admitted that the offshore drilling proposal he unveiled last week would probably have mostly "psychological" benefits, NBC/NJ's Adam Aigner-Treworgy notes. "Even though it may take some years, the fact that we are exploiting those reserves would have psychological impact that I think is beneficial." Uh oh. Then at a fundraiser in tony (and coastal) Santa Barbara, one attendee took issue with McCain's offshore drilling proposal, according to the pool report. "We're really kind of goosey here about oil spills, and we're goosey here about federal drilling and oil lands, which are abundant offshore," the attendee said. "So we ask you to look out there to the south and the southeast and remember the greatest environmental catastrophe that's hit this state and then balance that with the notion of winning California." Today, McCain remains in Santa Barbara, where he holds a briefing on the environment with Gov. Schwarzenegger, who also opposes the offshore measure. Even though public polls show that majorities support lifting the ban on offshore drilling, McCain isn't having an easy time with the issue when campaigning on the coasts. *** The Enthusiasm Gap: Two polls in the last two days signal a big problem McCain has, and it's perhaps why it's so important that James Dobson is going after Obama, accusing him "of distorting the Bible and pushing a 'fruitcake interpretation' of the Constitution," the AP says. In the Newsweek poll showing Obama sporting a 15-point lead, the reason for that large lead had to do with the 19-point party identification gap between the Democrats and Republicans. Bottom line: All pollsters these days are finding fewer and fewer folks wanting to call themselves Republicans. And in the USA Today/Gallup poll, 61% of Democrats said they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting in November, while just 35% of Republicans said that. This goes to the heart of the two-fold problem McCain's facing: 1) unhappiness over Bush has driven some Republicans away from the GOP and into either the indie camp or even to the Democrats and 2) some conservatives are just not happy about McCain. Perhaps James Dobson's shot across the bow against Obama will, at a minimum, create uneasiness among evangelicals and move these voters back in McCain's column, even if unenthusiastically. For more: The latest edition of First Read is available now atfirstread.msnbc.com