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Non-Tech : Bill Wexler's Trading Cabana -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: cubsfan who wrote (3671)7/5/2008 8:10:24 AM
From: RockyBalboa  Respond to of 6370
 
Here is a somewhat surprisingly bullish article about smallcaps, regional banks amongst them. Regional banks might be cheap but they aren´t safe, I think. Nobody knows what kind of skeletons are in regional banks, overall.

>>>>
The upside right now of small-cap indexes like the Russell 2000 is that they're largely shielded from credit market turmoil. Instead of big global financial brands like Citigroup Inc. or Merrill Lynch & Co., the small-cap indexes contain regional banks with little or no exposure to mortgage-backed securities and other risky investments. ??????

Kim Caughey, equity research analyst for Fort Pitt Capital, said she thinks the rise of small-caps might be more of an anomaly and not some kind of sign of a rebound.

...

biz.yahoo.com

..........

Meanwhile, Calculatedrisk sees it differently, see M&I:

Regional Banks: Marshall & Ilsley Warns
by CalculatedRisk
Regional bank Marshall & Ilsley expects a $900 million loss provision:

M&I expects to take a 2008 second quarter provision of up to $900 million ... This provision is expected to be approximately $485 million in excess of expected 2008 second quarter charge- offs of up to $415 million.
...
"The continuing deterioration in the housing market, particularly in Arizona, on Florida's west coast and in selected relationships in our correspondent business, makes this the prudent action to take at this time. While we cannot predict whether or not we have reached the bottom of the current housing cycle, we do believe the actions we have announced adequately address the current exposure embedded in our housing-related construction and development portfolio," said Mark F. Furlong, president and CEO, Marshall & Ilsley Corporation.

emphasis added
A regional bank with C&D (construction & development) loan problems. This will be a common theme.