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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sr K who wrote (24865)6/28/2008 9:19:29 AM
From: ChinuSFO  Respond to of 149317
 
How Obama can lose

Posted June 28, 2008 7:00 AM
The Swamp

By Paul West

Barack Obama is on his way to a blowout victory this fall, if you believe recent polling that shows him leading John McCain by 15 percentage points.

Big, summertime leads in presidential contests can vanish, though. Comparisons are already being drawn with 1988 Democratic nominee Michael Dukakis, who looked like a mortal lock after he bounced, in late July, to a 17-point advantage over George H. W. Bush.

Obama could lose, too, if he can't make a convincing case to millions of undecided voters who regard him as a stranger, despite the fact that his name and face are recognized around the world.

His campaign manager seems to say as much, describing this summer as a rerun of 2007, when Obama was introducing himself to activists for the first time.

"In many ways, it feels like, let's say, last July or August in Iowa for us," says David Plouffe. "You look at these voters who are going to decide the election in these battleground states, and they know very little about him."

...contd at weblogs.baltimoresun.com