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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (36444)	7/2/2008 3:40:10 AM
From: Moominoid	Respond to of 217560

A macro investor trades stock indices, currencies, interest rates etc.

To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (36444)	7/2/2008 6:02:29 AM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 217560

re macro investing forget individual stock picks and precise real estate shopping picture below: we are racing - against time, - to see whether the rising cost of living will implode our neighbor's income statements in time before exploding that of our own, so that we still have some will to purchase our neighbor's imploded assets at a psychological moment, so as to eventually benefit from the must-happen upswing - to see whether our balance sheet will outlast the time it takes to get to the upswing, elapsed time unknown unreal tournament last-man-standing-death-match defined. and so we shuffle, run, veer away from, dive into, cower amongst, and generally move about groups of equity, types of cash, kinds of debt instrument, piles of gold, and real estate, to hide, fight, perish, or gain as we may, until the game announcer says to the second last man standing, "Game Over, Player Two". The game has no precise rules, changing all the time, allows for no respite, tolerates no quitters, has few winners, and eventually kills all, to the very last man. The object of the game is to perish well as opposed to miserable. Oops, announcer saying "Players, get ready, on three, two, ..."

To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (36444)	7/2/2008 6:49:43 AM
From: carranza2	Respond to of 217560

As I see it, macro investing involves determining the direction of broad economic trends, then investing in them without too much regard for individual securities. Example: I believe commercial real estate in the US has a lot further down to go so rather than research the individual REITs or companies likely to suffer, I invest in SRS, the double short RE etf. I think inflation or stagflation are the likely trends in the next 2-4 years so I invest in gold rather than in individual shares that might benefit. I think financials are in deep trouble, so I double-shorted them via SKF rather than look for individual issues. I sold too soon, however, to my chagrin. I left huge short term profits on the table. Commodities of all kinds are likely to boom for years so I bought the Rogers Index etf, RJI. I think we are headed for a major recession thanks to oil costs and credit issues, so I have bought Yen via FXY, gold and Swiss Franc via FXF to protect. Oil and coal should boom, too, so I am in USO, KOL as well as a leading coal producer, Peabody. Canadian oilsands are likely beneficiaries of the oil boom so I have ENY. I generally avoid individual securities, but not religiously. I own, Hecla Mining, Oilsands Quest, and Qualcomm. I am considering re-entering SONS because I am familiar with it and it presents a huge value opportunity, IMO.