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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (95541)7/11/2008 9:22:00 AM
From: bart13  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Agreed on it being hard to say, especially beyond the short term. Much of the reason I'm a shorter term trader is that I don't do well generally when trading/investing for the intermediate term (over a few weeks).

That said, it seems to me from my Fed watching that the Fed is fairly happy all things considered with where rates are. Also, that chart showing both 1973-75 and 2001-2 and how we've been running along the 1973-75 track is very much about the similarities in the oil and geopolitics in the middle east areas.
My "rescue" comment also includes the possibilities of significantly escalated war too. :(

As far as juniors & miners go, and again looking at the 1973-75 period, here's the picture:



The real and more important issue to me though is whether we're in 1974 or so or in 1977-78... in the history rhyming area.