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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (9661)7/12/2008 1:22:41 PM
From: nspolar  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
You think it goes below 140 then, aj?



To: ajtj99 who wrote (9661)7/13/2008 11:59:15 AM
From: Mongo2116  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Ya think GS is the new canary?



To: ajtj99 who wrote (9661)7/14/2008 4:14:23 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hi AJ, I agree with you and longer term followers know that I was commenting repeatedly last summer that Goldman Sachs was not going to get off scot free with their entire market cap intact by the time this credit crisis really got rolling.

excellent thinking on your part

John



To: ajtj99 who wrote (9661)7/14/2008 4:51:20 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Avoid Financials as `Fires' Continue, Birinyi Says (Update2)

By Michael McKee and Eric Martin

July 14 (Bloomberg) -- Investors should avoid most financial companies because their shares will probably keep declining, said Laszlo Birinyi, president of Birinyi Associates Inc.

``Stay away from these stocks and take a very low profile,'' Birinyi, who oversees more than $350 million in Westport, Connecticut, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. ``There's an awful lot of fires that need to be put out. I'm concerned about how we get them all out.''

Birinyi's October warning that bank shares would fall preceded a 48 percent plunge in the Standard & Poor's 500 Financials Index. The index tumbled this year as asset writedowns and credit losses stemming from the subprime-mortgage market's collapse climbed to $415 billion worldwide, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Financial stocks declined 6.1 percent today to the lowest since October 1998.

U.S. stocks fell on heightened concern that bank failures will spread. Washington Mutual Inc. posted its biggest drop ever and National City Corp. tumbled to a 24-year low after last week's collapse of IndyMac Bancorp Inc. spurred speculation more regional banks may be short of capital.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac erased an earlier rally fueled by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan yesterday to help rescue the largest U.S. mortgage-finance companies. Paulson asked Congress for authority to buy unlimited stakes in the companies and lend to them, aiming to stem a collapse in confidence. Fannie Mae dropped 52 cents, or 5.1 percent, to $9.73 and Freddie Mac lost 64 cents, or 8.3 percent, to $7.11.

`Not Happy'

The market ``is not happy'' with the government's plan for Freddie Mae and Fannie Mac, Birinyi said.

Birinyi worked for about 12 years on the trading desk at Salomon Brothers before starting his research and money management firm in 1989. He is known for pioneering money flow analysis, which compares the dollar amounts moving into or out of a stock or index to establish whether it is being more aggressively bought or sold.

Short-term trading is more prevalent than buy-and-hold investing because people have little conviction about where the stock market is headed, Birinyi said.

``Nobody knows where the market goes from here,'' he said. ``There's certainly blood in the streets with the housing markets, and I don't see people taking advantage of it.''

To contact the reporters on this story: Michael McKee in New York at mmckee@bloomberg.net; Eric Martin in New York at emartin21@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: July 14, 2008 16:32 EDT