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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (133475)7/13/2008 3:03:03 AM
From: XoFruitCakeRespond to of 306849
 
"Actually, this doesn't address the fundamental problem, which is that houses are overpriced relative to owner's ability to pay"

If your focus is on the housing price, I agree 100%. Housing price won't stop dropping until they go back to the 28-30% income qualification type of mortgage. However, as far as bank balance sheet go, all the banks is going to have a window of opportunity where their stock price will rise because FNE/FRE problem are addressed and their balance sheet become stable (i.e. you don't have this wide gyration of valuation of FNM/FRE pass through security and question about banks capitalization). And the focus for banks will be on how much write off they still have left in their balance sheet? How much capital and at what price they can raise them? And what is their earning power going forward? Monday we will see MTB start reporting earning, and Wednesday will be WFC. I think we will see a wide range of write off and we will get a sense of which bank will make and which one won't.