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Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Road Walker who wrote (916)	7/24/2008 4:23:25 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 86355

"Its not bad, but it means the calculations are thrown off, and the actual net total cost consideration isn't as good as what was in the post." But still very, very good. Well its still good. Good in isolation at least. But since the issue is all the costs and benefits, not just if one specific benefit remains a benefit, a lesser "good" on the benefits side, without a corresponding reduction in the costs side, can tilt the whole thing to negative. Truck fit into a different class, as they are also commercial vehicles. I'm talking about pickups and vans not 18-wheelers. And yes pickups and vans are also used as commercial vehicles, but so are subcompacts. The vehicles under discussions are ones that are frequently used for private individual transportation, not big rigs, construction equipment, 50 passenger buses, etc. Yes and SUVs out sell personal flying saucers... because they don't exist. SUVs also outsell hybrids. They can hardly be said not to exist. Even electric cars exist. The reason while they haven't been marketed heavily is that they haven't been good enough so far to make sense to most buyers. but rather expanding the conversation to all electric cars, they won't be an important segment of the market for quite some time, and they won't be important in terms of the installed base for even longer. Define "long time". I used a vague expression, because the time frame when they will become a big deal is very uncertain. But while I can't give you any specific point where they will be a big deal, I can give a point where I think its very unlikely that they will be a big deal. They won't be a major fraction of new car sales for at least the next 10 years, and likely longer. They won't represent a majority of the personal vehicles on the road for multiple decades, if ever.