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To: Peter Ecclesine who wrote (27534)7/25/2008 10:36:45 AM
From: ftth  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 46821
 
Maybe I'm missing something but it appears to me that paper just reinforces my original point about the lack of these large contiguous blocks on an unencumbered basis. Plus it's just one side of the story, from an ITU study group.

Even their results point to the extra costs of theoretical co-existence, which are highly dependent on assumptions made in the analysis. A full regulatory hearing, where all sides of the story present cost/benefit analysis and interference analysis, will make it harder still.

On top of those extra costs, even if you presume some compromise coexistence resolution, you still have the likely immense cost at auction of these large spectum blocks. That point can't be waved off, because it changes the game in a big way.

The likely spectrum costs are more than the network deployment costs. Significantly more.

That hasn't happened before.
Not by the broader nationwide averages anyway. The business case viability considerations for purchasing such large spectrum blocks are turned on their head, even if you ignore all the interference issues and regulatory rulemaking issues and associated costs.

I'm thinking several steps into the future here, and it's quite possible I'm missing something. But it also seems possible that the soup-to-nuts business case for acquiring, deploying, and operating these very large spectrum blocks just might not compute, if you use recent historic spectrum costs.

What then?