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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Terry Whitman who wrote (9825)8/14/2008 11:07:33 AM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hi Terry, could you enhance your question. Are you asking having we seen previous bear market lows in Large cap stocks while over say the previous 6 to 12 months small caps and tech stocks might have already started to show relative strength. Thus being indicators of the coming end of the bear in Large Market Capitalization stocks?

Let me reflect on that, I may need to go to a couple of my books to brush up on this. As we know in 1999 2000 high tech high P/E high P/Sales stocks ended a massive bull market, while value stocks rebounded and rallied quite a bit after several of the big value investors threw in the towel on their being long "value stocks"

There are always a few "new frontier" stocks that are premised on new technologies that are in multiyear bull markets. In the 1952-53 bull market, jet technologies was one of the hot growth areas. Radio and phonograph makers in the 1920's. They came strong out of the shoot when the bear markets ended. 1919 to 1921 being a memorable bear market; with the hangover from WWI. 1919-1920 witnessed a huge spike in commodities somewhat analogous to the past 2 years.

John