Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: see clearly now who wrote (39402)	8/30/2008 6:13:33 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 218016

on first contact with readings, specialized reports, gurus, visionaries, technologists, and industry players, the concensus appears to be that both c-si and thin film cells will win, win big, applied differently, matching needs with wants and ability to pay easy first cut appears to be: c-si cells - 25 years durable life - 13-18% efficiency (smaller area for per watt) - no efficiency degradation over time - tried and true manufacturing - cost 3 going to 1 thin film of various sorts: - 10 years durable life - 6-10% efficiency - performance degradation over time - easy but more toxic manufacturing, but require more care over life time, best integrated into building parts (glass) and for institutions (who can care for the systems), have disposal issue - cost 1.5 going to below 1 etc etc then there are the thousands of down stream parts makers and tens of dozens of upstream enablers the efficiency issues are being worked on, with many obvious solution paths, all bullish for planet earth, but possibly deadly for any particular company if trapped in dead-end technology early days yet, perhaps - vhs/beta before blockbuster days - internet 1995 - housing 2001 etc etc think whatever we think, we best be doing some thinking, or be left behind also must pay attention to downstream stuff such as inverters and such that ought to win as an aggregate group which ever solar cell wins