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Politics : Sarah Palin For President 2012 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Tom Clarke who wrote (40)	9/7/2008 6:17:25 AM
From: Tom Clarke	2 Recommendations Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1832

Palin floats like a butterfly, stings like a bee Willie Brown Sunday, September 7, 2008 The Democrats are in trouble. Sarah Palin has totally changed the dynamics of this campaign. Period. Palin's speech to the GOP National Convention on Wednesday has set it up so that the Republicans are now on offense and Democrats are on defense. And we don't do well on defense. Suddenly, Palin and John McCain are the mavericks and Barack Obama and Joe Biden are the status quo, in a year when you don't want to be seen as defending the status quo. From taxes to oil drilling, Democrats are now going to have to start explaining their positions. Whenever you start having to explain things, you're on defense. I actually went back and watched Palin's speech a second time. I didn't go to sleep until 1:30 a.m. I had to make sure I got the lines right. Her timing was exquisite. She didn't linger with applause, but instead launched into line after line of attack, slipping the knives in with every smile and joke. And she delivered it like she was just BS-ing on the street with the meter maid. She didn't have to prove she was "of the people." She really is the people. There is one thing she should have done: announced when her 17-year-old daughter and the teenage father of the girl's unborn child are getting married and invited all of us to the wedding. It should be like Sunday at church. As for Palin herself, she is going to be very, very effective on the campaign trail, especially if McCain's people can figure out how to gently keep her from getting into confrontations with the press. If she can answer questions like she handled herself at the convention, Palin will turn out to be the most interesting person in all of politics, and the press will treat her like they treated Obama when he was first discovered. And remember, the Palin bandwagon needs to roll for only two months. By the way, a note to John McCain: Get rid of the suits. McCain is best with an open collar, his sleeves rolled up and in a Western shirt. He doesn't come off well in suits at all. They make him look old. And Cindy - keep the hair up. A little while back, I took a dig at San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom for that "Victory Garden" in front of City Hall. Well, I went back and checked it out again, and you know, they did a pretty good job. All the tourists are getting their pictures taken with City Hall in the background. Although I have to say the whole Slow Food Nation movement is something of a puzzle. A guy came up and asked me - does it mean you cook it slow or eat it slow? I tried to explain that it was about nutrition and about keeping the food supply closer to cities. He just shook his head and walked away. Lots of calls coming in from Sacramento. Everybody's confused. The budget impasse is a complete mess. There is no leadership. People are incredibly critical of the governor. They really think he's come apart. Even his staff is beginning to sense that he's not being realistic in any of his endeavors when it comes to the budget. I was at Joe Betz's House of Prime Rib the other night. Same menu, but the whole place has been remodeled. A new glass-enclosed wine closet, a private dining room. He redid the outside to look more like a Parisian street. It's absolutely beautiful. But the biggest change was in the customers. Every other table was Chinese. Looking forward to the 49ers' opener today against Arizona. I don't think it is going to be a championship season, but they're going to be entertaining. The Raiders, however, are in trouble. They have potentially the best quarterback in football, but they've got no coach and they won't be able to get one as long as Al Davis stays in control. Movies: "Traitor" with Don Cheadle, the guy from "Hotel Rwanda" and "Crash" - a must- see. "Elegy," with Penelope Cruz and Ben Kingsley, is another good one. And a final one you'll want to see is "Fly Me to the Moon." It's the Disney-type animation story of Apollo 11 told from the perspective of three flies. Now that is something to see. By the way, there's a new dining tip for people going out in Oakland. Be sure to order soup. That way when the robbery starts, you can slip off your jewelry and drop it into soup so the robbers won't see it. sfgate.com

To: Tom Clarke who wrote (40)	9/7/2008 12:32:54 PM
From: goldworldnet	2 Recommendations Respond to of 1832

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll Sunday, September 07, 2008 rasmussenreports.com The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday, September 7, shows the race for the White House is tied. In the first national polling results based entirely on interviews conducted after Sarah Palin’s acceptance speech, Barack Obama gets 46% of the vote and so does John McCain. When "leaners" are included, it’s all even at 48%. Tracking Poll results are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day and a FREE daily e-mail update is available. This past Tuesday, Obama’s bounce peaked with the Democrat enjoying a six-percentage point advantage. Before the two conventions were held, Obama had consistently held a one or two point lead over McCain for most of August (see recent daily results). Tracking Poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, tomorrow (Monday) will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after McCain’s speech. By Tuesday or Wednesday, the net impact of both political conventions should be fairly clear. McCain earns the vote from 89% of Republicans while Obama is supported by 81% of Democrats. McCain also manages to attract 15% of Democrats while Obama gets 9% of the Republican vote. Voters not affiliated with either major party remain fairly evenly divided between the two men. McCain leads by seven points among men while Obama leads by six among women. On Tuesday, when Obama’s lead peaked, he had a fourteen point advantage among women. Premium Members can review demographic crosstabs and all the data we collect--not just the portion we make public. Premium Members can also get an advance look at tracking poll results via the Daily Snapshot each morning. Forty-two percent (42%) of voters say that economic issues are most important this year and Obama holds a 34-point advantage among these voters. Twenty-four percent (24%) of voters say the national security issues are most important. Among these voters its McCain by 39. The Republican hopeful also leads by wide margins among those who consider fiscal issues or cultural issues most important. Obama leads among those primarily interested in domestic programs such as Social Security and health care. Overall, McCain is now viewed favorably by 58% of the nation’s voters while Obama earns positive reviews from 56% (see trends). Palin is viewed favorably by 58% of voters including 40% with a Very Favorable opinion of her. Biden earns positive reviews from 48% of voters. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Obama voters now say they are voting with enthusiasm for their candidate while 17% are primarily voting against the other candidate. For McCain, those numbers are 65% and 28% respectively. Before the Republican convention, just 54% of McCain voters were voting enthusiastically for him rather than simply voting against Obama. Each Saturday morning, Rasmussen Reports reviews the key polls of the past week to learn What They Told Us. The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently shows Obama leading in states with 193 Electoral College votes while McCain leads in states with 183 votes (see Quick Campaign Overview). When leaners are included, it’s Obama 264, McCain 247 (see 50-State Summary). Data from Rasmussen Markets currently gives Obama a 57.4 % chance of winning in November. Other key stats of Election 2008 can still be seen at Obama-McCain: By the Numbers. Sign up for a free daily e-mail update. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters--is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members. Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. Our baseline targets are established based upon survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews). For September, the targets are 39.7% Democrat, 32.1% Republican, and 28.2% unaffiliated (see party trends and analysis). For the month of August, the targets were 40.6% Democrat, 31.6% Republican, and 27.8% unaffiliated. * * *