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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TH who wrote (11004)	9/11/2008 12:02:47 PM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 71484

It's a mid-cycle brutal correction, which has been very late. So, it remains a long term buying opportunity. Gold will be much higher 5 years from now. It will rise in all currencies. Fundamentals for the dollar remain rotten, and the global debt deflation will involve significant monetization. Note that gold is in a bullish 9-year cycle, the secular bear market has ended. The secular bull will end with a bang.

To: TH who wrote (11004)	9/11/2008 2:50:29 PM
From: Killswitch	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 71484

My guess is what might reverse the USD rally will be an increasing perception that the FED will cut rates soon rather than stay on hold/raise. The rumors seem to be beginning today: seekingalpha.com After we get past next week's FED meeting I will be watching the rate probabilities to see if the bets for 1.75% start to creep up. They actually do seem already to be creeping up very slightly over the past few days if you look at the far right edge of these graphs, but I will be more interested in seeing the December chart posted here after next week's meeting. clevelandfed.org P.S. Looks like the Aussie has clawed back to breakeven vs. USD today.