To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (374109 ) 9/12/2008 12:07:40 PM From: Broken_Clock Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258 Ike's storm surge According to the NOAA tide gauges, storm tides along the Mississippi coast peaked at about 6 feet above normal yesterday, with a 7 foot storm tide observed on the east side of New Orleans at Shell Beach in Lake Borgne. At 10 am CDT, storm tides of 5-6 feet were being seen in western Louisiana, and were 5 feet at Freeport, Texas, and 5.5 feet at Galveston. According to the latest NWS forecast from the Galveston office, we can expect the following storm surges in Texas: Gulf-facing coastline west of Sargent... 4 to 6 feetwunderground.com Shoreline of Matagorda Bay... 2 to 5 feet Gulf-facing coastline from Sargent to San Luis Pass... 12 to 15 feet Gulf-facing coastline San Luis Pass to High Island including Galveston Island... ... 15 to 20 feet Shoreline of Galveston Bay...15 to 25 feet NOAA's experimental storm surge forecast is calling for a 10% chance that the storm tide from Ike will reach 27-30 feet on the south and east sides of Houston. The exact track of Ike is key in determining if Galveston's 17-foot sea wall gets overtopped, flooding the city. A slight wobble 30 miles to the north of Galveston would put the city into offshore winds from Ike, possibly saving it from inundation. The situation is grim for Port Arthur, Texas, on the Louisiana border. The expected storm surge of 15-20 feet will overtop the city's seawall by six feet, resulting in flooding of the city and a number of major oil refineries. Expect a significant tightening of gas supplies in coming months, due to extensive damage to the oil refineries in the Houston and Port Arthur area.