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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: hoyasaxa who wrote (32049)9/17/2008 10:49:12 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78476
 
For me, I'm always wanting to be in, so it's never a question for me of being out or mostly out, then going "all in" --- especially not going all-in on one stock.

Right now in my current buys, I'm emphasizing the lp, BWP: Large distribution (yield); distribution could increase in future years; has contracts from customers for gas transmission for its to-be-completed construction projects; Tisch family possibly could help BWP funding, if required; chance for capital gain if stock recovers.

So many bargains abound, it's not so much a matter of which to buy, but rather, just to buy.



To: hoyasaxa who wrote (32049)9/18/2008 2:04:26 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78476
 
Starting for a decent position in asset manager, BEN.

Barron's 9/10 article not too positive:

"Relative returns are likely to remain weak across Templeton's largest equity funds given adverse forex trends and ongoing global equity-market volatility. As flows tend to follow performance, we expect aggregate net flows to remain decidedly negative in the near term...Our reduced earnings outlook reflects lower August AUM; more conservative net flow assumptions; less favorable revenue yields; and tighter margins. As a result of our weaker earnings projections, we are taking down our price target from $120 to $103." Sandler O'Neill & Partners

Zacks says "hold": predicts small earnings drops: $7.03 ('07) to $6.95 to $6.74 ('09).

Imo, from my recollection/experience, publicly-traded asset managers take a hit when stock markets decline, and come back when the markets improve. I'm intending to buy now and wait for the better times. I've landed on BEN; others might be better - I've not looked - BEN seems okay to me: It has the size/diversity/reputation.

Fabulous profit margins and relatively (to itself) low p/sales. Okay roe (20% 5-yr avg). Book value increasing every year. P/bk = 2.9 has been higher and lower in past years. D/e almost 0. Stock price --- oops, has moved up as I've written -- around $90. 20 bucks/sh in cash. Small dividend, sometimes increased. Relatively low p/e now (12).

It's a buy!

(Bwdik. Jmo, and I've been wrong many,many times.)

finance.yahoo.com