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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Think4Yourself who wrote (148050)9/19/2008 12:41:57 PM
From: BWACRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
<It is very clear what is going to happen in the next week. >

I'd say when option protection goes away at 4pm, the shorts who have dallied to cover or refused to roll out to October are going to be in serious financial distress next week.

Is that what you think?



To: Think4Yourself who wrote (148050)9/19/2008 12:50:15 PM
From: XoFruitCakeRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
"As for Joe taxpayer? No real sorrow for him. He's a complete and total idiot who will let the government stick him with the bill for what the financial system did. It looks like we are about to become a two class society"

I am a tax payer and I am not as pessimistic.. I think US tax payer worked out great in the last RTC bailout.. There is a major difference between marked to market in an illiquid market and vulture is your only buyer vs you let the portfolio run off and see what you get at the end... Fed is borrowing money at 2.00% right now so their huddle is not exact high to make a profit from all the mess that they need to handle. The key I think is the mechanic of how to determine the price they are paying for some of the loans so that they would overpay for the asset. I won't be surprised that they are setting up some kind of exchange like situation with them being a major buyer of asset.. The will allow for vulture funds to participate and get price discovery really fast..



To: Think4Yourself who wrote (148050)9/19/2008 1:20:35 PM
From: Peter VRespond to of 306849
 
"We saw what was coming and warned about it for months/years, and now that it's here all but a fortunate few are getting punished for being right."

No sh!t. I'm getting my ass handed to me today, despite my UYG and URE call option hedges. Stupid me thinking yesterday was going to be a local top.