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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: robert b furman who wrote (40315)	9/20/2008 6:09:35 AM
From: robert b furman	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 95757

End of a 12 month bear: The weaker successive spikes in nasdaq new highs-new lows shows eachj decline wrought out fewer new lows. The last 2 days have been the first positives over 100 in almost a year(since October). stockcharts.com Bob

To: robert b furman who wrote (40315)	9/20/2008 12:19:21 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 95757

Bob, That was a very interesting description about the white spinning top. The following paragraph is from the description. <<Like most other single candlestick patterns, the White Spinning Top has low reliability. It reflects only one day's trading and can be interpreted both as a continuation and a reversal pattern. This candlestick needs to be used with other candlesticks for a healthier confirmation of a trend.>> As the paragraph states, it reflects only one day's trading, but in this case it covers a weeks trading. Not sure what, if any, difference this implies. However, this past week had very high volatility action not seen very often. I am hoping it was a reversal pattern, but the fundamentals for the semi sector are not good right now. That isn't in itself so bad if we saw some "good times" on the horizon, but many analysts are pushing out the recovery in this sector further into 2009. This "pushout process" has been going on for a long time as evidenced by the SEMI Bookings data. Message 24966164 Bookings hit a "peak" in June of 2006 of 1782M. Since then, except for a short term "blip" in the middle of 2007, the trend has been down. From the 1782M in June 2006, the just released Aug 2008 number of 884M is a 50 percent reduction in Bookings over the last 26 months. At some point obviously, Bookings will increase, but when is the big question. Backlogs at companies continue to drop as Billings have exceeded Bookings since Jan 2007. Message 24966211 Of course, Billings have been coming down as well as Bookings over the course of this downtrend. We can only hope the "bottom" gets here sooner than later to bring better stock prices.