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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Road Walker who wrote (418867)	9/22/2008 10:09:52 AM
From: tejek	1 Recommendation Respond to of 1576823

PPP: Economy Driving NC Voters To Hagan And Obama by Todd Beeton, Mon Sep 22, 2008 at 03:51:50 AM EST Public Policy Polling has released a new poll out of North Carolina (1,060 LVs, Sept. 17-19, MOE +/- 3%) with good news for both Barack Obama and Kay Hagan (9/9 results in parentheses.) Obama 46 (44) McCain 46 (48) Hagan 46 (43) Dole 41 (42) PPP concludes that the surges of 4 and 5 points respectively for the Democrats in just 10 days are directly attributable to concerns over the economy. For both Hagan and Obama, as economic anxiety increases, so does their overall support in the state. The % of respondents who now name the economy as their number one issue is at 58%, the highest it's been all year and a huge 10% increase since late August. Among these voters, Kay Hagan wins 57-30 over Dole and Obama wins 58-34 over McCain. While it should be noted that the margin of error increases as the sample size shrinks, the trend is remarkably consistent, as this chart from PPP's blog illustrates: Date % economy top issue Spread 1/21/08 39 McCain +14 5/9/08 43 McCain +7 8/23/08 48 McCain +3 9/19/08 58 Tied But is this enough to drive Democrats to victory in NC this year? Nate Silver is skeptical yet concedes that the McCain campaign is certainly not taking North Carolina for granted. The McCain campaign said Saturday that it had opened 14 offices in the state and hired 20 paid staffers — a number that said it would likely grow to 20 offices and 25 to 30 staffers. "This is a state that Sen. Obama and his campaign have targeted and put extraordinary resources and finances in the state," said Mike DuHaime, the political director for the North Carolina McCain campaign. In another push, President Bush is scheduled to attend a fundraiser in Greensboro on Sept. 30 to raise money for the McCain-Palin ticket. And Barack did campaign in Charlotte, NC today, speaking out about the proposed $700b bailout. His campaign seems to get that the higher the economy is on the list of priorities of voters in a red state like North Carolina, the less likely it is that the Republicans will be able to distract voters with their usual wedge issues. As the PPP blog put it: Republican Presidential candidates tend to win in North Carolina even though the Democrats have a large registration advantage because conservative Democrats and independents so often choose the GOP candidate. Their choices are often driven by social issues and immigration. The more those voters make their decisions based on the economy the more likely Democrats are to succeed. mydd.com