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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (70496)	9/29/2008 12:12:16 AM
From: marek_wojna	2 Recommendations Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Thanks for the nice outlook, Maurice. I'm not sure about Kiwi Land but my both nieces who live in suburbs of Sydney in Australia considering walking out from their very expensive houses. Oil is not so much OPEC any more. Oilsands in Alberta will be in not so distant future be able to meet all the imports to US. Alternative energy has the chance if they come with the lithium battery double the capacity of the one they use now. 140wh/per kg. They already achieved that number but cost is astronomical. Too bad I missed Google but barbaric futures made up for that. I still believe black market will soon emerge for gold and silver. History repeats itself. It is almost impossible to buy silver and lots of gold stuff. Interesting - price hovering close to $1000 and nobody selling scrap. That's not like in 79. Yes, DOW might even go to 20000 but it is the end of an era of free markets and true capitalism. As for the oil by all accounts should be down 50% months ago. Reason is US is not anymore powerhouse. Asia is. Maybe lack of silver is like repeat of Canton, Hong Kong and opium. Let's go figure out what kind of "opium" China will get addicted to, problem is it have to be the kind they cannot produce for the long time. Count on oil $200 in 2 years, charts became too widespread knowledge May we live in interesting times - Marek

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (70496)	9/29/2008 7:50:01 AM
From: TWICK	1 Recommendation Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

And with recoveries come higher oil and commodity prices. Sorry to say, but my country, the US, is way late to the game in alternative fuels and nuclear power. How many years does it take to build such a plant? I believe on average close to 10 years. And this is after years, or decades of lawsuits and governmental debates about where to build these sites and where to store the waste.

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (70496)	10/10/2008 12:11:11 AM
From: marek_wojna	2 Recommendations Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

<<There will be recoveries all over the place after the market clearing. Dow 16,000 will be here before you know it. Notice how the stock market is relatively unaffected by the financial sector shambles [Dow down from 13,000 or so to 11,000 is no big deal].>> I'm afraid our leaders are reading and implementing Karl Marks "Das Kapital", Maurice. Despite ban on short selling of certain stocks sell off continue. I'm afraid the present generation have no more stomach for the rallies and busts what leave us with the perspective of the governments as the major shareholders. Reminds me the history of preventing the natural fires in Yellowstone Park. When the finally BIG one hit everything was destroyed. Who knows what will be left out of the free markets after all the interventions by the CB's. They should let the free forces of the markets work long time ago when LTCM was in trouble. But we had Greensputin as man in charge to prevent the nature to take the course. I have no doubt there will be rebounds but potential buyers will have to keep in mind that unlike gold which is easy to check the weight we will never know how many billions of shares CB's are holding. Good luck. Marek