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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ggersh who wrote (12331)10/4/2008 2:39:04 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71479
 
He's right, of course, but he forgets that our creditors are
foreign and that sovereign debt also has a credit rating. We
rate our debt, and we rate it AAA, of course, but it's kinda
like subprime AAA ratings back in 2005-2006. To put it mildly,
our real sovereign rating is probably close to an F, given
70 Trillion plus (5-6 times GDP) long term government
liabilities

It seems Mr. CDS market already rates US sovereign debt
below that of McDonalds, Inc.

In a currency crisis the very same asset deflation stuff
happens, but the currency also drops sharply, resulting in
price rises and significant inflation. Argentina stuff.



To: ggersh who wrote (12331)10/4/2008 2:55:27 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71479
 
In other words, his long treasuries stuff is way off the mark.
Treasuries are a bubble waiting for a pop.