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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Killswitch who wrote (12345)10/4/2008 8:33:11 PM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™1 Recommendation  Respond to of 71479
 
usd is stable because everyone is short the amount of them they need at the moment.

your premise is, i'm sorry, flawed.



To: Killswitch who wrote (12345)10/4/2008 8:54:35 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71479
 
You have fresh data? Sure it sagged in the beginning
of the year, but right now reports seem to be different,
and lease rates indicate acute shortage of the metal.

Unlike commodities, precious metals
normally do well during recession due to their moneyness.
Gold and Silver markets are tiny. For example, Melinda Gates
can purchase all the gold in GLD ETF with her pocket cash,
while Buffett can sure buy 4 years worth of gold supply
if he really wanted -g-

While it ain't happening, you get the picture - if a massive
investor move happens, it overshadows recessionary drag from
Jewelry demand. And, usually such moves tend to happen in
times of crisis.

The fact that speculators sold 650 tonnes of gold in the
futures in the past couple of months certainly had the most
effect on the price of gold near term.

Perhaps, these investors wanted some physical instead -
I mean, the house changes the rules during the game. The
margin requirements are raised all of a sudden, delivery
limits are imposed, etc. Sec. bans stuff. You get the picture.
Some investors may want off of the comex and onto the real
stuff.



To: Killswitch who wrote (12345)10/24/2008 3:04:13 AM
From: Killswitch  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71479
 
EUR/USD just fell below the recent 1.2750 resistance.
USD/JPY has fallen below 95.
AUD/USD crushed down over 5% and counting... new low.

NYMEX GOLD now at a 6 handle. <---

Silver looks like heading to an 8 handle.

Oil technically looks headed to $50's short term.

Commodity deflation macro trend still in effect tonight.