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Technology Stocks : Cymer (CYMI) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: D.J.Smyth who wrote (5534)	10/21/1997 11:38:00 AM
From: giddy guru	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 25960

//gg// Increased volume on CYMI puts. CYMI Nov 25 puts has a volume of 1147 as indicated by Pacific Brokerage. Seems to be too high! Any guess? I am holding the stock in antcipation of earnings. /gg/

To: D.J.Smyth who wrote (5534)	10/21/1997 12:45:00 PM
From: Defrocked	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 25960

<Cymer....should bounce at least $4 after earnings.> Be careful, Darrell, and don't tempt the Trading Gods!<g> I have personally noted that there exists a little known trading rule concerning the inverse relationship between the certainty of expected price movement and its actuality. For example, if one is highly certain nonfarm payrolls will be above expectations, bonds will trade higher whether you were right or wrong. One may call this the Heisenberg uncertainty effect of over-analyzing a trading situation. The more one studies and is convinced of the outcome the greater the odds of loss.<g> Moreover, absolute conviction on a trading idea absolutely loses.<gggggg> Fortunately for Cymer holders I believe Q3 will come in at .25 EPS but I have no strong conviction and am prepared to lose 50% of my substantial holdings based upon my fuzzy feelings toward CYMI management. :^) Good investing all.