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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (40797)10/7/2008 3:28:11 PM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219110
 
we already got one. 3/4 point, when they started paying interest on reserves. yesterday.



To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (40797)10/7/2008 6:34:03 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 219110
 
they will cut,and then cut again, to try the japanese zirp solution, but on global basis, triggering the zimbabwe hyper stagflation resolution, and ending up with the argentine default outcome - it should be an interesting journey

just in in-tray

Given my analogies of Obama = FDR, part deux, this article is instructive as to what we need to watch for in addition to tax hikes and trade protectionism.

newsroom.ucla.edu

SNIPS:

In an article in the August issue of the Journal of Political Economy, Ohanian and Cole blame specific anti-competition and pro-labor measures that Roosevelt promoted and signed into law June 16, 1933.

"President Roosevelt believed that excessive competition was responsible for the Depression by reducing prices and wages, and by extension reducing employment and demand for goods and services," said Cole, also a UCLA professor of economics. "So he came up with a recovery package that would be unimaginable today, allowing businesses in every industry to collude without the threat of antitrust prosecution and workers to demand salaries about 25 percent above where they ought to have been, given market forces. The economy was poised for a beautiful recovery, but that recovery was stalled by these misguided policies."

"The fact that the Depression dragged on for years convinced generations of economists and policy-makers that capitalism could not be trusted to recover from depressions and that significant government intervention was required to achieve good outcomes," Cole said. "Ironically, our work shows that the recovery would have been very rapid had the government not intervened."




To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (40797)10/7/2008 8:55:06 PM
From: KyrosL1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 219110
 
The decision to buy CP is far more significant than a cut. The money for the CP comes pretty close to helicopter money. The Treasury will issue special bills, which it will pass on to the Fed, and then the Fed will create money to buy the CP. So, as long as this program is in effect (at least until April next year) we will get this extra injection of money into the economy. What is particularly puzzling at this point is the strength of the dollar.