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Biotech / Medical : Agouron Pharmaceuticals (AGPH) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: margie who wrote (2439)10/21/1997 5:18:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6136
 
Hello Margie. Thanks for the response regarding sales estimates. If in fact future European sales are not factored in, do we expect that analyst estimates jump dramatically upon approval? If it were all this cut and dry, you would expect that a percentage of the potential upside would already be priced into the stock, yet it does not seem to be.

Assuming approval this calendar year, and hopefully worst case, shipping by fiscal Q2, I wonder what we could estimate European sales to be for three quarters? Sounds like the actual approval, or more likely, strong rumors of when it will happen, will be what propel's the stock towards 70. As I'm thinking aloud, I realized that that is what happened with the US approval. Huge runup on rumors of approval soon, then significant pull back after approval.

sf



To: margie who wrote (2439)10/21/1997 8:42:00 PM
From: Izzy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6136
 
Does anyone know what the estimated European sales will be (? quarterly, ? annually)? Does AGPH get all the money from the EU sales? What is the status of Canadian/Asian approval? It seems to me that the total sales will at least equal the US sales. If true, then the stock should be valued at 100+, particularly if the other AGPH drugs receive EU approval. Is my thinking OK? If it is, I'm holding on forever.