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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Senior who wrote (32506)10/16/2008 5:09:10 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78704
 
IMHO, CX dropped to $4.5 based on the fear of derivatives and debt. I don't know if Mexico slowdown is reflected in the stock price though.

I agree that there are issues, I still think the company is way undervalued. I added some recently near current price. My next step would be adding below $5ish.



To: Paul Senior who wrote (32506)10/16/2008 7:58:29 PM
From: Spekulatius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78704
 
re CX, the US$ debt is pretty scary with almost all currencies now falling against the US$ that could get one ugly bloodbath on the balance sheet. Took a quick look at CX valuationwise:

CX 5B$ market cap 20B$ debt, 5B$ EBITDA = EV/EBITDA about 5
LaFARGE (LG.PA) 10B$ market cap, 15B Euro Debt, 5B Euro EBITDA = EV/EBITDA about 5.

Looks like CX & Lafarge trades at a similar valuation as per EV/EBITDA but at lower gearing. Of course the devil is in the details. Personally I would like to see at least one of CX balance sheet under the new reality before committing capital.