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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (38500)10/16/2008 8:09:20 PM
From: koan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
He deserves it. I am fed up with those right wing mad junk yeard dogs-lol.

At some point one has to say: "just how serious is this and what is the appropriate response.

Ok, these guys are not Nazi's, but-lol, they might be compared to Stalin-lol.



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (38500)10/16/2008 9:42:36 PM
From: TARADO96  Respond to of 149317
 
Joe, Joe, Joe...

liar, liar, pants on fire....



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (38500)10/17/2008 1:00:37 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 149317
 
Obama Matches Kerry's Support With Whites, Pointing to Victory

By Hans Nichols

Oct. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Barack Obama is running even with or ahead of 2004 Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry in support by white voters. If those numbers hold, with a changing electorate, pollsters say Obama will win on Nov. 4.

Obama trails Republican John McCain among white voters by 13 percentage points, the same margin by which Kerry trailed President George W. Bush in mid-October 2004, according to the latest Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll.

``If Obama matches Kerry's numbers with white voters, he's in, comfortably,'' said Dick Bennett, a pollster with Manchester, New Hampshire-based American Research Group.

Obama, the first black major-party presidential nominee, is benefiting from an electorate that looks different than it did four years ago. Blacks and Hispanics will represent bigger shares of the voters who cast ballots next month, and Obama is getting more support from those groups than Kerry did in 2004. First-time voters favor Obama by 24 percentage points in the new Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll.

The Democrat's strength with young and minority voters illustrates why McCain must keep, and probably increase, Bush's 57 percent share of 2004's white vote.

``Kerry saw his numbers fading with whites in the last three weeks'' before the 2004 balloting, Bennett said. ``This time, the momentum is with Obama and he's actually attracting more white working-class voters.''

`Bradley Effect'

As surveys show a boost in Obama's support, pollsters are watching for signs that results may be skewed by hidden racism, in a phenomenon called the Bradley effect. That theory proposes that some white voters who won't support a black candidate lie about their voting intentions to conceal racial bias. The theory is named for former Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, a black Democrat who lost a 1982 race for California governor even though pre-election polls had showed him ahead.

Overall, Obama leads McCain 50 percent to 41 percent among likely voters in the Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times survey. The Illinois senator has pulled ahead in the past month as voters overwhelmingly turn their attention to the slowing U.S. economy.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 22 percent since the beginning of September, enduring record-setting daily swings along the way, and Congress passed a $700 billion financial-rescue package aimed at easing a global credit crunch. Poll respondents favor Obama as the best candidate to confront the economic chaos.

``If John Kerry had the current economy that we have today, he would be finishing his first term,'' said Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster.

Leading in Polls

In building his current lead, Obama is ``getting nearly universal support among African Americans and doing relatively better among independent whites than Kerry did four years ago,'' Ayres said. Recent surveys by Gallup Inc. and George Washington University's Battleground poll show Obama has cut the Republicans' double-digit 2004 advantage with white voters by at least half.

The national trends are also shaping the race in highly contested states such as Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Obama lags behind McCain among white voters in Ohio by 10 percentage points, according to a poll released Oct. 13 by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. The Republican margin four years ago was 12 points.

In Pennsylvania, McCain has an 8 point edge with white voters, about the same as Bush's lead in 2004, a Marist College poll shows.

Hispanic Voters

At the same time, Obama leads McCain among black voters by 91 percentage points in the Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times survey. He enjoys a 40 point advantage with Hispanics, which is ``dramatically higher than Kerry's'' backing in that group, said Susan Pinkus, the Los Angeles Times polling director.

With increasing Latino support, Obama is ahead in surveys of voters in Nevada, New Mexico and Colorado -- three states with significant Hispanic populations that Bush carried in 2004.

``It's part of the Californi-cation of American politics,'' said Simon Rosenberg, president of NDN, a Washington-based think tank formerly called New Democrat Network. ``The electoral map gets increasingly difficult for Republicans if they keep losing Hispanic votes.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Hans Nichols in Washington at hnichols2@bloomberg.net

Last Updated: October 17, 2008 00:01 EDT