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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (41620)10/21/2008 5:39:29 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 220322
 
no idea, as the panic must match the scale of the earlier speculation, but we have no sense of how much the unwinding will be

how long is a piece of string?

some on my e-mail roundtable figure s&p 500 can go to 400. how long does that take?

folks generally figuring usa/spain etc real estate should crater 50% from current levels within 3 years

in hk we are efficient, and i expect the 50% additional cratering to take place before end of Q2 2009.

the usd may peak when rmb:usd returns to the old pegged rate, so perhaps we watch that



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (41620)10/21/2008 5:43:44 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 220322
 
just in in-tray ... <<Was at bca conference. 80% think that mkt will be higher in 12 months>>



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (41620)10/21/2008 9:04:49 PM
From: Grandk  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 220322
 
FWIW, I am still holding out for EUR/USD 1.2500 area before I go long. However, we are definitely oversold and I would not be surprised if we bounce here around 1.3000. LT the USD should test the lows.


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