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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JohnM who wrote (91336)10/22/2008 10:24:08 AM
From: Dale Baker  Respond to of 541477
 
Yes.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters--is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.



To: JohnM who wrote (91336)10/22/2008 10:43:10 AM
From: Mary Cluney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541477
 
<<< Rasmussen does likely voters (traditional model).>>>

John Kerry was six points ahead in the polls on the night before the election. He was ahead in the exit polls on the day of the election.

Something tells me you have to look at all this with a heavy grain of salt.


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