To: D.J.Smyth who wrote (5590 ) 10/21/1997 11:16:00 PM From: PAinvestor Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25960
Darrel & thread, thank you for bringing back the thread to its usual informed debate. I would like to point out a few things: 1) Again, it is my belief that the report exists and that Nikon has in fact told SB and other analysts in Tokyo about the lasers which means that the U.S. tech analysts are gaining hold of this information currently. You will not be able to find this report on bloomberg as you have not been given access by SB to their research. Even if you do a search under CYMI or Nikon it will not show. That is why brokers provide their proprietary research on bloomberg to prevent people like us utilising the information for free. You should thank GriffinMrX. I suspect that you may soon be hearing more on this subject of Komatsu's lasers. Perhaps a proper press release or something...... 2) This does not mean that CYMI is in trouble. It means that , AS EXPECTED, there are other entrants coming into the DUV market and are ramping up capacity. Right, where does that leave us? Well, long a company that has an overwhelming share of USABLE and PROVEN DUV lasers in the field right when capacity is being ramped up. Komatsu no doubt is rushing their lasers to the market and they will have their fair share of production problems just like CYMI did. People underestimate the difficulty in addressing technical problems. The Japanese have just as hard a time as anyone else. I'm still bullish and long CYMI. 3) The entire market for DUV is expanding at such a pace that this should not affect CYMI's growth. Remember, you may have a hot product but things like maintenance (remember the tie-up betwen CYMI and ASMLF), quality (double the capacity may be great but what if it breaks down twice as much?), technical requirements (do steppers have enough throughput to make it worthwhile having a laser that has a MTF of double its competitors?) and cost ('nuf said) are crucial elements to a product's competitiveness. Will this have an impact on the bottom line for a stepper manufacturer and its competitiveness? I would expect that these variables come into play. This is a business, not a laboratory. Regards....PAinvestor P.S. I would be very appreciative of someone who could answer these questions. There was a post way back in September or so which had a direct comparison of CYMI's, Komatsu's and DOHR's DUV laser specs. Can anyone update this? (TIA)