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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (88988)10/23/2008 9:34:10 PM
From: ggersh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
"The world doesn't have to end if equities fall, but equities must trade in some relation to debt. I'm not sure when people will realize this."

Very well said....do HP and BB know this??



To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (88988)10/23/2008 10:20:56 PM
From: ajtj99  Respond to of 116555
 
There's a reason why some of that debt is yielding so high.

It doesn't make sense to buy junk until just before a recovery, and I don't see junk as a value until late 2012.



To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (88988)10/23/2008 11:04:48 PM
From: stockfiend  Respond to of 116555
 
Which banks? Existing bank debt is not guaranteed by the government and only a few banks carry the implicit too-big-to-fail government guarantee.



To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (88988)10/23/2008 11:05:58 PM
From: Little Joe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
I am completely unversed in what you are saying. What are corporate credit spreads? Where can they be tracked?

Do you think they should be bought?

Little joe



To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (88988)10/24/2008 2:39:44 AM
From: stockfiend1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
Some figures for I culled for perspective:

Federal Debt: $10,495,669,391,439
S&P 500 Market Capitalization: $7,949,805,000,000 (@ 908.11)
Money market funds: $3,536,000,000,000
Non-Financial commercial paper: $194,743,000,000
Financial commercial paper: $559,422,000,000
Asset-backed commercial paper: $694,879,000,000



Sources:

Federal debt: treasurydirect.gov

S&P 500: www2.standardandpoors.com

Money market funds: ici.org

Commerical paper: federalreserve.gov and federalreserve.gov