To: Dale Baker who wrote (91677 ) 10/24/2008 9:17:22 AM From: Dale Baker Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541503 October 24, 2008 -- 7:28 a.m. EDT McCain's Bid to Turn Back the Obama Tide By JOSEPH SCHUMAN THE WALL STREET JOURNAL ONLINE In presidential politics it really ain't over 'til it's over, and a lot can happen in 11 days, but a skein of national and battleground-state polls suggest that if the U.S. election were held today, Barack Obama would probably be the next president. Surveys in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and other battlegrounds paint a bleak picture for John McCain, and indicate that even in traditionally Republican-leaning states like Indiana he is behind, as McClatchy Newspapers reports. "Senator Obama is no longer the candidate of the young, the well-educated and minorities. He is now virtually the candidate of the 'all,'" Peter Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, tells McClatchey. "He is winning among all age groups in all three states. He wins women by more than 20 points in Ohio and Pennsylvania and is competitive among men in all three states. Whether voters went to college or not, they are voting for him." Another eight surveys conducted by the Big Ten Battleground Poll suggest Sen. Obama enjoys what the Washington Post calls a startling lead through the Midwest, leading by 12 percentage points in Ohio, 11 points in Pennsylvania, 13 points in Wisconsin, and 22 points in Michigan, where Sen. McCain is no longer campaigning. Predictions appear equally dire for Congressional Republicans. House Republicans are circulating an internal document that "warns of an impending congressional bloodbath, listing 58 Republican-held House seats being at risk, and 11 already considered as good as gone," Politico reports, adding that Republicans worry that as many as "34 GOP-held seats are in serious jeopardy of swinging to Democrats." Sen. Obama, who previously held off campaigning with most other Democratic candidates out of fear it could "dilute his brand and diminish his outsider appeal," is now feeling confident enough to support some down-ticket Democrats, The Wall Street Journal reports. But the trend in presidential preference isn't just due to party. The latest New York Times/CBS News polls show Sen. Obama has "surprising strength among portions of the political coalition that returned" President Bush to the White House four years ago. "Underscoring his increasing strength in the final phase of the campaign, Sen. Obama led Sen. McCain among groups that voted for President Bush four years ago: those with incomes greater than $50,000 a year; married women; suburbanites and white Catholics. He is also competitive among white men, a group that has not voted for a Democrat over a Republican since 1972, when pollsters began surveying people after they voted," the Times reports. But Sen. Obama's strategists do worry about another finding, according to the Times: "a third of voters surveyed say they know someone who does not support Mr. Obama because he is black