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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dale Baker who wrote (91713)	10/24/2008 1:01:53 PM
From: Paul Kern	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 541481

<>he is doing an ad buy in West Virginia of all places. My father in law is a full time Obama volunteer in WVa and says it's pretty hopeless there -- 10 or more points worth of hopeless. Sometimes they send him across the border to Ohio where he is more useful.

To: Dale Baker who wrote (91713)	10/24/2008 1:14:34 PM
From: Mao II	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 541481

Hi Dale: There is not a chance McCain can win Pennsylvania. As Philadelphia goes, so goes the state. In other words, if a candidate comes out of the Philadelphia region with a large enough plurality, he or she will take the state -- virtually irregardless of what happens in between Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. In the case of Obama, it has been clear for quite some time that he will leave the city with +500,000. That's not even counting the surrounding suburban counties that used to be solidly Republican but have been turning blue over the course of the past sight years. Kerry won the state with a much smaller plurality in Phila. It's not even close now. M2