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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dale Baker who wrote (91804)	10/25/2008 9:42:41 AM
From: Dale Baker	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 541472

No progress for McCain in the Rasmussen tracker: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll Saturday, October 25, 2008 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Barack Obama attracting 52% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. This eight point advantage matches Obama’s biggest lead of the year in a race that has been remarkably stable down the stretch. A week ago today, Obama was up by five. Two weeks ago, he was up by seven (see trends). Today’s results mark the 30th straight day that Obama’s support has stayed between 50% and 52%. During that period, the number voting for McCain has stayed in the 44% to 46% range every day and the gap between the candidates has ranged from four to eight percentage points. However, while the overall levels of support have remained stable, voters have become more certain of their intent. Today, the percentage who say they could still change their mind is down to single digits. Forty-eight percent (48%) are now certain they will vote for Obama while 40% say the same about McCain. Nine percent (9%) lean one way or the other but could change their mind. The remaining three percent (3%) are either committed to a third party candidate or remain undecided. Thirty days ago, while Obama enjoyed a five-point lead overall, just 41% of voters were certain they would vote for him. At that time, 39% said the same about McCain (see other recent demographic highlights and trends). Tracking Poll results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail update is available. Each Saturday morning, Rasmussen Reports reviews key polls from the past week to see What They Told Us. Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters have a favorable opinion of Barack Obama while 52% say the same about John McCain (see trends). Looking to the Senate, new polling data shows Democrat Jeanne Shaheen continuing to lead incumbent Republican John Sununu in New Hampshire. Democrats are also well positioned to pick up Senate seats from Republicans in Virginia, New Mexico, and Colorado. In Minnesota and North Carolina, Democratic challengers have a narrow advantage. If the Democrats were to win all six of those seats, it would give them a total of 57. As Harry Reid and his team seek to reach the magic number of 60 Senate seats, they can find additional prospects in Alaska, Oregon, Georgia, and Mississippi. Even Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky is not as secure as he would like to be in what is proving to be a very difficult cycle for Republicans at all levels. Regardless of whether or not they reach 60 Senate seats, the Democrats will enjoy working control of that legislative body when it convenes in January. Take a moment to predict whether or not the Democrats will have 60 Senate seats following this election. You might also enjoy Larry Sabato’s assessment of House and Senate races. As for the Electoral College, Rasmussen Reports data indicates that Obama currently has the edge in every state won by John Kerry four years ago. However, of the states won by George Bush, McCain is trailing in four and five others are considered a toss-up. As a result, Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 286-174. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House.